Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 164.308442 191.234463 222.712646 262.621039 312.431842 373.312481 4.545516e+02
2025-06-01 126.741024 159.302161 201.570968 261.874375 348.146344 471.225056 6.683013e+02
2025-06-08 105.115343 138.687995 185.316421 257.359302 370.923779 552.987885 8.910926e+02
2025-06-15 94.548065 129.895220 181.883320 268.025773 416.394917 682.443004 1.257696e+03
2025-06-22 81.282418 114.660926 165.651512 254.255041 416.659269 732.761344 1.502052e+03
2025-06-29 73.369660 106.135450 158.049836 252.571636 437.048762 828.270200 1.913262e+03
2025-07-06 67.163525 99.332452 151.980576 251.983712 458.896731 935.536440 2.446178e+03
2025-07-13 64.745260 98.227416 155.129963 268.784917 521.316150 1167.477133 3.623005e+03
2025-07-20 63.103866 98.133736 159.909078 289.675829 600.066737 1490.032967 5.680281e+03
2025-07-27 59.330823 93.882969 156.434733 292.709019 637.017837 1715.350237 7.799725e+03
2025-08-03 56.564504 91.085760 155.267897 300.453267 689.143853 2030.544587 1.143018e+04
2025-08-10 53.183003 86.809864 150.641911 299.402223 716.787327 2279.747946 1.564537e+04
2025-08-17 50.252116 83.406214 147.982636 304.224394 769.868876 2715.063265 2.508197e+04
2025-08-24 47.015547 79.148076 143.128740 303.051090 805.959266 3131.869063 3.970229e+04
2025-08-31 43.812078 74.620808 137.095331 297.578495 826.026628 3502.517216 6.134684e+04
2025-09-07 42.353975 73.356053 137.903358 310.493225 919.535354 4480.212993 1.452371e+05
2025-09-14 38.954068 67.885530 128.713909 293.825478 892.129118 4596.448291 1.999144e+05
2025-09-21 36.879325 64.932705 124.885181 291.791590 924.617552 5260.235770 4.226410e+05
2025-09-28 35.084670 62.398168 121.716651 291.081451 963.492897 6093.632446 1.141816e+06
2025-10-05 34.666073 62.686900 125.190885 311.413593 1112.123540 8562.949539 2.705083e+07
2025-10-12 34.459487 63.399379 129.789572 336.802788 1309.104814 12821.810833 NaN
2025-10-19 33.162538 61.622051 127.978557 340.498734 1393.532246 16004.520811 NaN
2025-10-26 32.217394 60.539682 127.802549 349.945953 1522.180286 21403.148593 NaN